Ecuador Is Going Down For The Count
I haven’t posted for almost two weeks, in very large part due to the electrical grid emergency in Ecuador. The electricity regularly cuts off for many hours at a time, often without warning, and without regard to any “official” schedule of electrical blackouts.
On Sunday, my neighborhood had exactly three hours of electrical service (2pm until 5pm) during the time period of 6am until 12-midnight. I believe that it came back on again at midnight. It was on when I awakened on Monday at 7am, but then abruptly cut off at 9:20am without warning. It came back on at 3pm and then went off again at 6:13pm. It is anyone’s guess as to when it switches on and off.
The government has said in recent days that the daily electrical power outages may persist until April of next year, half a year from now. That may possibly prove to be true, or perhaps false. Maybe the power cuts will be curtailed in the near future, or maybe they will continue to grow even worse.
Obviously, the national economy is in a precipitous economic free fall into a ruinous abyss.
Everything is being hammered by the collapse of the national electrical grid: warehouses, gasoline stations, seaport operations, grocery stores/supermarkets, dairy plants, farms, traffic lights, street lights, residential lighting/appliances/security systems, small businesses, grade schools, kindergartens, universities, industrial production/manufacturing, Internet/telephone and other telecommunication modes - - every single aspect of the economy is being hit hard.
Ecuador is in a rapid reversal to the 19th century, but with 7 times the population as in 1890. It is an untenable situation. 21st century societies are electrically and electronically wired. Take away the electricity for most of the day, week after week, month after month, and what happens?
Ecuador is finding out the answer to that. It creates social, economic, political, imdustrial, agricultural, educational and criminal strains, stresses and problems across the board.
Think of it: in large cities there are massive, electrically powered pumps that pump water through huge water mains to businesses, schools and residences, for showering, flushing toilets, drinking water, cooking and preparing food, washing dishes, pots and pans, washing cars, making ice, operating food processing plants, and more.
In the case of Quito, which is a major metro area with more than a 3-million-person population, when the electricity cuts off, the electrical water pumps immediately fail and water pressure in the mains drops to zero. Quito is a very high elevation city, way up in the Andes Mountains. Most sectors are at 9,000 ft. or above, which means pumping a lot of water uphill, except that when the electricity cuts off, the water pressure in the mains also cuts off.
I regularly see notices in the local news media in Quito that 98 neighborhoods, for instance - - or maybe more - - will be without water.
What I am saying is that there is a very serious, ongoing, systemic, electrical power and water supply issue in Quito, and all over the country. The issues are nationwide, not just here in the capital city.
Given the endemic poverty in the population, thoroughgoing political corruption and incompetence at every level of government, and the ongoing national brain drain, as the best and most capable migrate to other countries in search of more advantageous socioeconomic conditions, there will be no short term solution to the collapse of Ecuador.
For most informed observers, among the obvious questions are:
will we see intervention of United Nations blue helmet troops to stabilize the country?
will the narco-cartels and other criminal bands overtly seize control from the central government?
will the people take to the streets in massive numbers to overthrow a transparently inept, incompetent, criminally corrupt government?
will the organization of American States (OAS) intervene?
will Uncle Sam intervene?
Of course, the biggest question of all is: who is really in charge of Ecuador?
I continue to see motorcades of unmarked new cars with tinted glass in and around Quito, without license plates, and under armed police escort with sirens wailing, and blue and red flashing lights.
Who or what is in the unmarked cars that are coming and going under armed escort?
I don’t know, and the government and news media say nothing about the mystery motorcades.
Has Ecuador now fallen into receivership, due to its unpayable national debt and hopeless economic condition? Is Ecuador under new ownership by “people” who prefer to keep their identity concealed for the moment?
I don’t know, but things have clearly changed for the worse.
Under present circumstances, the woeful situation in Ecuador will not and cannot be resolved in the short term, and maybe never. I judge it to now be a rapidly failing, or already a failed state. The prognosis for Ecuador is beyond bleak.
Coming soon to a country near you. What is happening in Ecuador will not stay in Ecuador.
This world is now entering into a period of upheaval. collapse, turmoil and tumult such as none of us have ever seen in our lives.
Analogies that come to mind are the decline and fall of the Roman Empire, the fall of Atlantis, and the catastrophe that befell the world at the end of the last Ice Age.
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